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How many games will the Minnesota Vikings win in 2020?

Tim Heaney
Sportsbook Wire

How many games will the Minnesota Vikings win in the 2020 NFL season? We look at BetMGM's projected win total and the Over/Under odds, while looking back at the 2019 season and key offseason roster changes.

Minnesota Vikings' 2019 season

  • Record: 10-6 (2nd in NFC North)
  • Against the Spread (ATS): 9-7
  • Over/Under: 9-7

Their book results heavily mirrored their performance last year, thanks in big part to RB Dalvin Cook having his long-awaited, full-season breakout.

The Vikings ranked in the middle of the pack in yards gained (353.5, 16th) and allowed (341.6, 14th) but made up for it by scoring often (25.4 points per game, 8th) and limiting points allowed (18.9, 6th).

QB Kirk Cousins again was solid with a 69.1% completion rate, but wide receiver Adam Thielen's health again became an issue as repeated hamstring injuries marred his season, meaning the Vikings went without a top possession wideout and suffered in the aerial game.

Minnesota Vikings' 2020 offseason changes

Will Cook hold out?

The Vikings traded big-play receiver Stefon Diggs to the Buffalo Bills and replaced him by drafting possession-minded WR Justin Jefferson.

Gary Kubiak replaces Kevin Stefanski as offensive coordinator but should closely resemble Stefanski's personnel and style that elevated Cook. They should continue using TEs Kyle Rudolph and breakout candidate Irv Smith Jr. frequently.

Minnesota may struggle to replace DT Linval Joseph. They also cleaned house in the cornerback room, ditching Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes and Mackensie Alexander, but they could be replaced in-house by rookie Jeff Gladney, standby Mike Hughes and others.

The major question that hangs over head coach Mike Zimmer, however, is whether Cook will hold out as he seeks a new contract. He has reported to camp but hasn't yet committed to playing. AlexanderMattison doesn't have Cook's ceiling but would be a solid backup plan to carry the load if needed.

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Minnesota Vikings' 2020 schedule

Week 1: vs. Green Bay Packers

Week 2: at Indianapolis Colts

Week 3: vs. Tennessee Titans

Week 4: at Houston Texans

Week 5: at Seattle Seahawks

Week 6: vs. Atlanta Falcons

Week 7: BYE

Week 8: at Green Bay Packers

Week 9: vs. Detroit Lions

Week 10: at Chicago Bears

Week 11: vs. Dallas Cowboys

Week 12: vs. Carolina Panthers

Week 13: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Week 14: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Week 15: vs. Chicago Bears

Week 16: at New Orleans Saints

Week 17: at Detroit Lions

Minnesota Vikings 2020 win total: Best bet

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Odds updated Friday, Aug. 7, at 1 p.m. ET.

Projected win total:8.5OVER: -159 / UNDER: +130

  • Likely wins:8 - Packers (home), Texans, Falcons, Lions x2, Bears (home), Panthers, Jaguars
  • Likely losses: 6 - Colts, Seahawks, Cowboys, Saints, Titans, Buccaneers
  • Borderline: 2 - Packers (away), Bears (away)

I'm willing to lean toward a loss in the games against the Buccaneers and Titans, and those borderline NFC North games are often messy.

The OVER 8.5 (-159) is the logical bet but doesn't offer much profitability. I'd rather PASS and focus on the Exact Wins: Best Bet later.

Exact Season Wins: Bands

  • 0-4 wins: +4000
  • 5-8 wins: +125
  • 9-12 wins: -154
  • 13-16 wins: +2000

Again, not much profitability here; BetMGM has sniffed out Minnesota's outlook. Focus on the next section.

Exact Wins: Best Bet

I lean toward 10 but could easily change that to 11 if I know Cook will play and preseason developments hurt the outlook of one or more of their opponents.

See the full breakdown of BetMGM's Vikings season-special bets.

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